Tuesday, 11 February 2014

Gabriel's Midweek Predictions: 11th February

Premier League
The big game this week comes at the Emirates. Arsenal look to recover quickly from a 5-1 thrashing, when they play a Manchester United side who have their Champions League hopes slipping away at rapid speed, after dropping more points. The two teams who benefited from Arsenal and United’s failings last weekend were Liverpool and Fulham, and they play each other at Craven Cottage. Fulham look to come off the bottom, while some Liverpool fans are daring to dream of mounting a title challenge, now just six points off top spot. The goals have dried up for Newcastle lately, and they will look to put that right, when they host away specialists Tottenham. 

Cardiff vs. Aston Villa
Gabriel Agbonlahor
Cardiff undid their victory over Norwich by falling apart in the Welsh derby, and they are three points away from safety. You might have thought Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s arrival would give them a big boost, but four league defeats from five means they have gained no momentum from the change of regime. This season, the Bluebirds have been very poor when defending against counter attacks down the flanks, and that is where Aston Villa can cause problems. The pace of Agbonlahor, in particular, will be a threat to Cardiff. If they can break well, Villa might just pick up a fifth away win of the season. 1-2.

Hull vs. Southampton
Artur Boruc
Hull have only lost three times at home this season, as Spurs recently became another top team to drop points at the KC. Goals from Long and Jelavic saw the Tigers win 2-0 at Sunderland on Saturday, which was an important result, after they were without a league win since the turn of the year. Southampton, on the other hand, are doing well in both league and cup. They have not been beaten since defeat to Chelsea on New Years’ Day, scoring sixteen goals in those seven games. Artur Boruc made a couple of mistakes in their draw with Stoke, but he is one of the Premier League’s better goalkeepers, and will gain Southampton more points than he loses. 1-1.

West Ham vs. Norwich
James Tomkins
After looking all over the place at the back in January, West Ham have now kept three consecutive clean sheets, as the return of centre-backs James Tomkins and James Collins from injury has helped. Now arguably their best defender, Winston Reid is back in contention, but Allardyce might be tempted to stick with the pairing that has worked so well of late. They play a Norwich side who know how to keep a clean sheet themselves. The Canaries kept three from their last four, and have just become one of just four teams to avoid conceding against Manchester City this season. You sense there might not be too many goals in this one. 1-0.




West Brom vs. Chelsea
Gary Cahill
Two points from four games, and a drop from fourteenth to eighteenth, is hardly the ideal start for Pepe Mel as manager of West Brom. It is surprising that the club sold Shane Long without replacing him, because the Baggies have been struggling for goals since the start of the season. Despite Arsenal being top for most of the season, and Man City’s at times unstoppable attacking play, Chelsea have always been my tip to win the title. They went top for the first time since August with a 3-0 win over Newcastle. Eden Hazard will get all the credit for his hat-trick, but Cahill and Terry are forming a great centre-back partnership, which Roy Hodgson might want to think about. Chelsea’s defence have only conceded twice in their last eleven games, so you cannot see West Brom getting any joy trying to break it down. 0-2.

Arsenal vs. Man Utd
David Moyes
David Moyes’s episode at Manchester United is turning into a horror show, and becoming almost painful to watch. You want to see British coaches succeed in the Premier League elite, but by the time Moyes has learnt his lessons, the pressure on him could be too strong. Against Fulham, United were constantly swinging crosses in, there was no sense of plan B, and had they won that match it would have papered over the cracks to some extent. But this match will be a case of which team can recover from their disaster quickest, because Arsenal lost 5-1 at Liverpool on Saturday. Their defence is not particularly bad in terms of consistency, but it still has tendencies to fall apart under pressure from time to time, and lacks leadership in the big games. Arsenal can end Manchester United’s hopes of a top four finish with a win here. 2-1.

Everton vs. Crystal Palace
Tom Ince
After recent defeats at Champions League rivals Liverpool and Tottenham, Everton will now find it difficult to get fourth, but they have won each of their home games since Boxing Day. Even with a number of players, including new signing Lacina Traore still injured, they should beat Crystal Palace. The Eagles have lost more away games, ten, than any other side in the Premier League, including five of their last six, although four of those defeats were against sides in the top five.  A positive for them was that two debutants scored in the win over West Brom, most notably youngster Tom Ince. Ince was very highly-rated at Blackpool and this could be a chance for him to work his way towards the plane to Brazil. 2-1.

Man City vs. Sunderland
Fernandinho
After looking like an unstoppable attacking force in January, Manchester City have been found out by Chelsea and Norwich, who both managed to keep a clean sheet against them. The absence of Fernandinho has had a lot to do with that, he has that ability to break up play and pass it short to the more creative players, which City have benefited from greatly. Sunderland fell to a home defeat to Hull, which was a result nobody quite expected, given their recent run of form. Adam Johnson had a rare poor game, up against Maynor Figueroa, and he will get much less time on the ball when playing his old club. Man City should resume their habit of winning at home. 2-0.




Newcastle vs. Tottenham
Emmanuel Adebayor
Goals are now becoming Newcastle’s problem, and a major concern for Alan Pardew. They have not scored in six of their previous seven games. Loic Remy will complete the last of his three match suspension, and his return could be key for Newcastle. They have had sixty-one shots in their last three matches, but not scored in any of them, which tells you a lot about their finishing. Their visitors, Tottenham, are very strong away from home, with just two defeats on the road this season. They kept themselves three points away from fourth place after victory over Everton. With Emmanuel Adebayor looking back to his best under Tim Sherwood, Spurs will get a tightly-fought victory. 0-1.

Stoke vs. Swansea
Peter Odemwingie
If you had offered Stoke fans four points from Manchester United at home, and Southampton away, they would have taken it gleefully, particularly after a run of four defeats. Both Peter Odemwingie and Peter Crouch netted in the draw at St. Mary’s, and if either of them can build on that, it could resolve Mark Hughes’s need for a clinical striker. Swansea beat Cardiff 3-0 in their first game without Michael Laudrup, but it is questionable whether Garry Monk will be able to build on that, and do a better job than Laudrup long-term. When a new manager comes in, it is common for the players to perform better, but complacency could soon be a danger for the Swans. 1-1.

Fulham vs. Liverpool
Daniel Sturridge
There is a thirty-point gap between these two clubs, with the side bottom of the table up against the side occupying fourth place, who just beat Arsenal 5-1. Even though Fulham rescued a draw against Man United, the stats do not look good for them. They can take some hope from the fact that Liverpool are not as strong on the road as they are at home, and have only won twice away since September. Fulham, much like they did in their draw at Old Trafford, may have to spend long spells soaking up pressure. If they push forward and try to press Liverpool, the chances are they will get completely beaten for pace, so it will need to be a disciplined, team effort from the Cottagers. Much of this depends on whether Liverpool score in the first half. If Fulham are chasing the game in the latter stages, they could get caught out on the break. 0-3.

Championship
On Tuesday night, the Lancashire Derby takes centre-stage, but Burnley and Bolton need three points for more reasons than simply local pride. Down south, Brighton and Leeds’ play-off chances will be tested in a clash at the AMEX, and a bit further west there’s a key relegation clash. Yeovil, currently six points off safety, have what you’d think will be a must win game against Millwall, who languish just outside the drop zone.

Brighton vs. Leeds
Oscar Garcia
Both teams had their play-off ambitions restored after a narrow win. Brighton saw off Doncaster late on thanks to a goal from Leandro Ulloa, his first since Boxing Day. But they are still frustratingly inconsistent. If you look at their last nine league games, it reads: won three, drawn three, lost three. Four of their next five opponents are, like themselves, just a few points off the play-offs - big games for Oscar Garcia's side. That starts with Leeds United. The Whites ground out a 2-1 win at Yeovil, in blustery conditions at Huish Park, and the result keeps them just five points off Reading, with a game in hand. You might have thought Ross McCormack would struggle as the lone striker, without target man Matt Smith playing in front of him. However, four goals from his last two games suggests it has not been a problem, and a player of his quality could help Leeds pick up a result down at the AMEX. 1-1.

Huddersfield vs. Nottm Forest
Adam Clayton
Unlike the aforementioned Bolton, Huddersfield are looking strong at home, having won half of their matches at the John Smith’s stadium. Thanks to Adam Clayton’s late strike, they picked up another home win against Wigan, which ended a sequence of four straight defeats. Nottingham Forest dropped two points at Blackpool, in a match where they scored with their only shot on target. Having been 1-0 up for most of the second half, they let their lead drop after a lapse in concentration, when defending deep at the end. Billy Davies’s main problem is that his side find it difficult to see wins out. In five of their eight away draws this season, and on three occasions since the turn of the year, they had the lead in the second half but still dropped points. With Huddersfield’s decent attacking options, that could be a problem. 1-1.

Sheff Wed vs. Wigan
Benik Afobe
Wigan have games in hand, but given they have only won twice on the road, forthcoming away trips to Brighton, Forest, Ipswich and QPR will not give Rosler too much confidence of rebuilding momentum. Neither will a game against Sheffield Wednesday, who stretched their run to eleven games unbeaten in all forms with a great win at Reading. Their position of seventeenth in the table, bears no accuracy on the threat they will pose to their Greater Manchester visitors. Benik Afobe looks capable of replacing Connor Wickham, albeit providing pace rather than Wickham’s type hold up play - the Arsenal loanee scored, and won the penalty for Chris Maguire. Wednesday’s momentum, or Wigan’s proven quality? A draw is the best bet. 1-1.

Watford vs. Birmingham
Olly Lee
In twenty-four games this season under Zola, Watford had four clean sheets. In eleven games under Sannino, they have already kept five. It does not take a genius to guess what the new manager’s priorities are. Watford looked well organized in their draw at Leicester. Ahead for most of a match away to league leaders, inevitably they were going to have little of the ball, yet they still reduced the Foxes to just three shots on target. Birmingham put in a similar performance at Charlton, and came away with a fifth away victory since mid-November. A midfield trio of Lee, Huws and Adeyami worked hard to deny space for their opponents going forward. Federico Macheda’s brace means he has now scored three times for Birmingham in one hundred and twenty minutes of game time. Macheda could give Blues a much-needed cutting edge in front of goal, but Watford have only conceded once at home since Sannino took over, and they may keep another clean sheet. 1-0.

Yeovil vs. Millwall
Marek Stech
Yeovil’s 2-1 defeat to Leeds on Saturday perhaps summed up their season. They put their opponents under a lot of pressure towards the end of the first half, missed a penalty, and ultimately did not have the experience and leadership to hold onto the win. Goalkeeper Marek Stech may be partly at fault for the goals, but in both cases the defence were ball-watching, and showed no intention to block the ball or close down. This is a vital game for the Glovers, against a Millwall side who let in three or more goals in a game for the twelfth time this season, when they lost 3-1 at Burnley. On the other hand, from four games against fellow bottom five teams, they have only conceded once. That goal came actually against Yeovil at home, on the opening day of the season. The Lions’ defence should be prepared for this relegation clash, while midfielder Ed Upson returns to his old stomping ground. 0-1.

Bolton vs. Burnley
Kieran Trippier
When these teams played each other on the opening day, you would have expected them to be in opposite positions this season, yet Burnley are competing for promotion while Bolton are flirting with a second relegation in three seasons. Burnley won 3-1 against Millwall on Saturday, thanks partly to two goals from Danny Ings, but credit must go to right-back Kieran Trippier. He picked up another two assists to earn himself the man of the match award, and is arguably one of the most underrated players this season. The Clarets have a tough run of fixtures coming up, with three away trips in the next four weeks, and their only home games will be against Forest and Derby. Bolton threw away a two goal lead at home to Bournemouth last time out, and they have still only won twice at home this season. 1-2.

  

Friday, 7 February 2014

Gabriel's Weekend Predictions: 8th February

Premier League

There are two big games this weekend. Liverpool want to clench their grip on fourth place, but to do so, they will have to beat table-toppers Arsenal. A bad result for the Reds would leave the door open for Tottenham or Everton to win their match on Sunday and apply the pressure, and would give Manchester United a shot at saving their season. Quite frankly, any match between two teams in the bottom half, of which there are three, can be classed as a ‘relegation six-pointer’, such is the unpredictability of this season. Here is my preview of the games.

Kolo Toure
Liverpool vs. Arsenal
Liverpool dropped two points at West Brom, after a mistake by Kolo Toure and a poor second half performance. That result is no disaster though, because they take the majority of their points at home. Add to that, Everton have got to play Chelsea and Tottenham in February, while Spurs themselves have seen their momentum come to a halt recently. As expected, Arsenal completely controlled their match against Crystal Palace, and won thanks to two goals from Oxlade-Chamberlain, who is returning to full fitness. Liverpool and Man United will provide two difficult opponents in the space of four days for the Gunners, and if they are still top of the league on Thursday morning, they will be very happy. However, with a player of Suarez’s aggression and world-class quality, Liverpool might just win this. 2-1.

Andy Carroll - injured
Aston Villa vs. West Ham
Two teams who have the lowest average possession percentage in the Premier League, aside from Crystal Palace. Aston Villa like to face up to against attacking teams who they can hit on the break, but West Ham tend to defend deep, particularly away from home. This is why it could be a stalemate. For a start, it will be difficult for West Ham going forward. Andy Carroll is key to them scoring goals, but is suspended for three games after a long-term injury, so it’s back to square one. He gets the best out of Jarvis and Downing’s crossing ability, and his knock-downs help Kevin Nolan when he breaks into the box, and without him the Hammers are not the same team. West Ham play with a cautious defensive line that should be able to cope with Villa’s pace. With two winnable home games coming up, Sam Allardyce will be content to simply not lose this, so it could be a dull game. 0-0.

Billy Jones
Crystal Palace vs. West Brom
In their last six home games, Crystal Palace have picked up just one less point than Arsenal, and two less than Manchester City. They have been brilliant at Selhurst Park, and their fans were very supportive throughout their game at the Emirates. Palace supporters have sang for their team since the beginning of the season, even when they looked certainties for relegation, so they provide a good vocal backing. West Brom may settle for a point here, and they should be able to get it. As well as having two defensive midfielders, fullbacks Jones and Ridgewell are not too attack-minded. Conversely, Cardiff, Hull and Stoke’s fullbacks generally are, and that was where goals were created for Palace, who look to attack down the flanks. Much like Villa against West Ham, a bore draw is on the cards. 1-1.
Norwich vs. Man City
Fernandinho - injured
Norwich created a number of chances against Cardiff but ended up losing 2-1, and fell victim to the heroics of the opposing goalkeeper. They have had fifty-four shots in their last three games, yet have only scored twice, so they clearly need to start converting. Gary Hooper, who was in form up until New Year, has now not scored in 2014. Sergio Aguero and Fernandinho are two vital players for Man City. Against Chelsea, Aguero might have put away one of the two chances that fell to David Silva, who is not the best finisher. More importantly they missed Fernandinho, someone who is capable of doing the dirty work and breaking up attacks, because Demichellis is not that man. Javi Garcia is a doubt for this match as well, so Manuel Pellegrini has problems in central midfield, and more defensive responsibility will be placed on Yaya Toure. City may not have things all their own way at Carrow Road. 1-2.

Chelsea vs. Newcastle
Eden Hazard
A lot of people talked about Mourinho’s game plan coming off in the match against Man City, but you need to give credit to Chelsea’s players. They had to carry it off, and were very well organized, breaking at pace. Eden Hazard, in particular, had an excellent game and is arguably the best player in the Premier League at the moment. This is a good time to be playing Newcastle, too. Fan protests against chairman Mike Ashley have surfaced, in light of a 3-0 home loss to arch rivals Sunderland. They have no longer got Yohan Cabaye, who provided a controlling presence in midfield. Chelsea do not tend to blow teams out of the water, and once they get their second goal, Mourinho might start planning ahead for West Brom away on Tuesday night. 2-0.

Sunderland vs. Hull
Liam Bridcutt
Sunderland are averaging almost two points a game at the moment, and their remarkable surge up the table seems to be continuing, with a 3-0 win at Newcastle. They have added Liam Bridcutt from Brighton, who Gus Poyet used to work with, and that could give them a bit more protection in midfield. Hull have the joint-worst away record in the Premier League, and have only picked up points from three of their twelve games on the road. Sunderland like to play on the counter attack, and this is where they can get the better of Hull, who play three at the back. Whenever their wingbacks break forward, there is an opportunity for Sunderland to get the ball to the flanks quickly, and cause confusion for Hull’s centre-backs. Adam Johnson on that right side, could have another enjoyable afternoon. 3-1.

Artur Boruc
Southampton vs. Stoke
Southampton have not lost since defeat to Chelsea on New Years’ Day, and three clean sheets from their last five suggests the Saints are rediscovering their defensive class. A big factor in this improvement, is the recent return of goalkeeper Artur Boruc. At Fulham, the Pole made three vital saves in the first half to keep the game at 0-0, before Southampton’s quality shone through in the second period. Boruc will fancy his chances of keeping another clean sheet against Stoke. Although the Potters beat Manchester United at the Britannia, they have only scored one goal in their last six away games. A comfortable home win. 2-0.

Swansea vs. Cardiff
Laudrup - sacked
Why did Swansea sack Laudrup? This is the third time this season that a manager has been surprisingly sacked – i.e. Clarke and Villas-Boas - yet the funny thing is that none of the decisions were made by foreign, or untrustworthy chairmen. None of them fall into the ‘Vincent Tan’ mould. Huw Jenkins is a lifelong Swansea supporter, Jeremy Peace and Daniel Levy have been very shrewd chairmen for their respective clubs, yet both bowed down to the pressure of money and short-termism. Furthermore, it is difficult to see who Swansea will take to replace Laudrup, who will continue their philosophy of possession football. Cardiff beat Norwich last week, which makes this relegation dogfight very interesting. They could start to find some momentum under Ole Gunnar Solskjaer, and complete a double over their Welsh rivals. 1-2.

Tottenham vs. Everton
Steven Naismith
After falling behind at the KC Stadium, Tottenham did fairly well to grab a draw, against a Hull defence which can often prove stubborn at home. However, with Liverpool dropping points, it was arguably a missed opportunity to close the gap on fourth place. Spurs have only won five home games this season, and they host an Everton side who have only lost twice away, and will be buoyed by a dramatic win over Aston Villa. After losing 4-0 to Liverpool, and going 1-0 down at home to the Villa, the pressure was on Roberto Martinez, perhaps for the first time. He certainly responded. Everton continued to play confident, positive football, and his substitutes, Pienaar and Naismith, made the difference. A draw between two sides who might just miss out on fourth place to Liverpool. 1-1.

Man Utd vs. Fulham
Time running out for Moyes?
Seven points behind Liverpool, Manchester United are in grave danger of finishing outside the top four for the first time since 1991. To do so would be a disaster for the club, because they rely so heavily on the money from playing in the Champions League. At the moment they are having a pattern of win, lose, win, lose, win, lose, and you wonder how quickly David Moyes is actually learning to put things right. The club cannot afford to have six years of consolidation like they gave Ferguson, so this Moyes era could end in tears. Fulham will put up a fight. They will need to have an improved performance somewhere after a 3-0 home loss to Southampton, and an FA Cup exit at the hands of League One Sheffield United. The additions of Mitroglou, Holtby and Heitinga could give the Cottagers a much-needed boost. United will have just enough quality to scrape a win here, but with Arsenal away in midweek, this could be yet another case of one step forward, two steps back. 2-1.

Championship
The big game comes on Monday night. Derby play host to QPR, in a promotion battle involving the highest goalscorers and best defence in the Championship. A defeat for QPR would mean Burnley can go back into the top two, if they beat Millwall, who are struggling near the bottom. Leicester have a chance to get revenge on Watford for last season’s dramatic play-off final defeat, by getting a tenth straight win and moving a step closer to the Premier League. At the other end, there’s a relegation scrap between Charlton and Birmingham, both of whom have had problems regarding their ownership in recent weeks.

Yeovil vs. Leeds
McDermott
See your manager be sacked, beat your local rivals 5-1 after going 1-0 down, end a run of eight games without a win, find out your manager had not been sacked after all, and protest against potential new owners. One thing is for sure - it won’t be dull being a Leeds fan right now. Arguably, the issue with McDermott has had the bizarre, unexpected impact of galvanizing the squad to play for their manager. If they put together a promotion push now, the past week could be looked upon as one divine turning point. Yeovil’s lack of experience is the main thing costing them. In matches against both Derby and Nottingham Forest, they were in strong positions to take something out of the game, but could not maintain their concentration. In his back line, Gary Johnson does not have any players who are proven at Championship level. 0-2.

Barnsley vs. Ipswich
Frimpong - suspended
Barnsley looked to have put in a good effort in their match at Sheffield Wednesday. They did well to deny their opponents any real chances, despite playing with a man disadvantage for much of the game, yet they can only blame themselves for that. Emmanuel Frimpong’s behaviour on the pitch was beyond daft. He had been warned, twice, before committing the reckless challenge that got him sent off. Barnsley could also do without the late three match suspension for Jacob Mellis, who is arguably their most creative player. Danny Wilson will need to re-think his midfield for the visit of Ipswich, a side who seem to be re-gathering their form, with seven points from their last three. In a tight game, Ipswich might have slightly more quality up front to nick a win. 0-1.

Blackpool vs. Nottm Forest
Jack Hobbs
Barry Ferguson took his post-match interview after Blackpool’s 2-0 defeat at Blackburn, and he did not seem at home one bit, in his new role as manager. He looked almost on the verge of tears, and lacked any of the charisma needed to turn his sides’ fortunes around. Nottingham Forest’s new Algerian signing, Rafik Djebbour, scored on his debut in the win over Yeovil, after coming on as a late substitute. That is just the start he would have wanted, and Billy Davies can now begin to integrate him into the first team. Even better news for Forest, Jack Hobbs is making his stay permanent after signing from Hull, and thus far he has stepped in for the injured Kelvin Wilson brilliantly. With unenviable opponents in Burnley, Leicester and Wigan forthcoming, a match against out of form Blackpool is one they need to win. 0-3.

Bolton vs. Bournemouth
Dougie Freedman
Much like Blackpool, Bolton are in poor form, recently got tonked at Reading, and their manager seems unable to do anything about it. Whenever Bolton lose this season, Dougie Freedman says things like “we were unlucky” and “I was pleased with the spirit and performance levels of the players”, yet those statements are wearing a bit thin. Things are looking brighter for their opponents, Bournemouth, who remain ten points above the drop zone, despite recent defeat to Leicester. In that particular match, perhaps they lacked a cutting edge going forward, with just one shot on target despite a majority in possession. Bournemouth have only won three away games, but Bolton have won just twice at home. 1-1.

Brighton vs. Doncaster
Leandro Ulloa
There might be a gap of ten places between these two teams, but this is by no means a predictable one. For a start, Brighton have not scored in any of their last three games. There must be problems regarding the confidence of striker Leandro Ulloa, as the Argentine has not netted since his brace on Boxing Day. Until January, they had Ashley Barnes for cover up front, but he left for Burnley. Oscar Garcia only has loanee Leroy Lita at his disposal, who he does not seem to favour - Lita has not yet started a match. It is not ideal to have goalscoring problems when you’re playing Doncaster at the moment, as Paul Dickov’s side are unbeaten in four games. In those matches, they have only conceded one goal, and their opponents had an average of under two shots on target per game, which says everything about their organisation right now. This could be a very frustrating day for the Seagulls. 0-1.

Burnley vs. Millwall
Danny Shittu
Burnley’s draw at QPR keeps the automatic promotion race interesting for now. If Burnley win this, they will go into second place due to a better goal difference, and that will put pressure on QPR for their trip to Derby on Monday night. Both Danny Ings and Sam Vokes scored in that match to keep their sensational season going, and they will fancy their chances against a Millwall back line with the worst ‘goals against’ record in the league. The Lions lost 3-0 at home to Reading on Saturday, and their defending in that match looked atrocious, with Danny Shittu particularly culpable. Millwall have the second worst away record in the Championship, and it does not look as though Ian Holloway will change that. 3-0.

Charlton vs. Birmingham
Federico Macheda
Charlton have lost their last three matches, and have not won since Boxing Day. At Wigan, they put in something of a backs to the wall performance, with just 32% possession. To concede two goals in the final few minutes after being 1-0 up for so long will be a sickening blow for Chris Powell’s men, and it could be difficult for their players to recover. Birmingham did the opposite last week. When they fell 3-1 behind, they never looked like salvaging anything from their match against Derby. Second half substitute Chris Burke made an impact, scoring with ten minutes to go, before debutant Federico Macheda got a last minute equalizer, after moving on loan from Manchester United. This could be a tight, nervy game at the Valley, between two sides with difficult times ahead. 1-1.

Huddersfield vs. Wigan
Uwe Rosler
Huddersfield have lost their last four games, although their last three in the league were away from home, and picking up points on the road is not Huddersfield’s strong suit. That is not to say that this game, even with home advantage, will be much easier. Wigan are slowly climbing towards the play-off places. They do not seem to be affected by that 3-0 loss at Doncaster, which has proved to be an anomaly, because they have won two and drawn one since. They kept their belief against Charlton to score twice in the closing stages, so Uwe Rosler seems to have the Latics very well motivated. Wigan will get a fifth win in seven from their short trip to West Yorkshire. 1-2.

Leicester vs. Watford
Anthony Knockaert
Lightening doesn’t strike twice. In the play-off semi-final last season, Anthony Knockaert missed a penalty to secure Leicester’s place at Wembley, before Watford went up the other end and scored, to go through in dramatic circumstances. Now things have changed, and Leicester have the perfect opportunity to avenge that defeat, by completing a sweet double over them this time around. It is hard to see the Foxes, currently ten points clear at the top, not doing so. Their opponents are in the bottom half of the table, and look unlikely to put together a play-off push, yet they will not go down either. In terms of promotion and pride, Leicester will have by far the more incentive to win. 2-0.

Middlesbrough vs. Blackburn
Grant Hanley
Middlesbrough seem to have lost that momentum, which led many to suggest they might make a late charge for the play-offs, as the Teesside club have not scored for three games. Over those matches, they had a total of thirty-two shots, yet only five of them were on target, which suggests there may be flaws in Karanka’s plan of encouraging players to shoot from range. At the age of just twenty-two, Grant Hanley has been given the captain’s armband at Blackburn, now Scott Dann has left for Crystal Palace. Blackburn do not have too many players who are experienced, or have been in the first team for a long time - except the injury prone David Dunn - so you can understand Gary Bowyer’s decision. There is little to choose between these sides. 1-1.

Reading vs. Sheff Wed
"Pavel Po- err.. that Russian fella"
A meeting of two in-form teams. Reading have scored fifteen goals in their last four games, with forwards Pavel Pogrebnyak and Adam Le Fondre rediscovering their goalscoring nous. Reading’s home form dipped dramatically between October and New Year, but recent thrashings of Bolton and Blackpool at the Madejski, suggests they are putting that right. Sheffield Wednesday are unbeaten in ten, and thanks to a very well organised defence, look to be moving towards the comfort of lower midtable. Then again, every good run comes to an end. Stuart Gray might just get a bit of a reality check, and his side could be this year’s third casualty of a trip to Berkshire. 3-0.

Derby vs. QPR

Kevin Doyle
For Derby, this is a ‘must-win game’, as far as automatic promotion is concerned. For QPR, it’s ‘must not lose’. A win for Derby would see them go just one point away from their Monday night opponents, having played one game more. In the likely case that Burnley beat Millwall on Saturday, QPR need to take something from this game to avoid handing them the initiative. The Rs go into this game without top scorer Charlie Austin, who could be out for the rest of the season. However, they scored three goals on Saturday, two of which came from debutant strikers Kevin Doyle and Modibo Maiga, so they may not miss Austin too much. Derby were involved in a 3-3 thriller themselves, conceding a late equalizer at Birmingham, though Patrick Bamford continued his successful start to his loan spell. This match sees the highest scorers in the Championship, play the side with the best defensive record, and it promises to be a fascinating contest. 2-1.

Wednesday, 5 February 2014

Is football damaging to society?

This is an article made partly in response to Kyle Norbury’s poem, arguing how football is damaging for society. You can read it here. While there are aspects of his argument that I can understand, I would argue that football has enriched my life and that of other peoples.

Kyle is a follower of football himself, but with regards to non-football fans, they often come up with wild assumptions about the sport. They feel it is damaging for people, and that they themselves are 'better off' not following it. I am not arguing that football fans are necessarily better off, merely disputing the fallacy that football is not as worthwhile as other ‘meaningful’ subjects, as many people seem to claim.

These opinions come from the state of 1980s football, when a lot of fans spent their time either being racist, or looking to fight another group of fans. My experience of the modern game is that it is not like that. If you go into a pub near a ground on a Saturday afternoon, which accepts home and away fans, there is no hostility at all. There might be a bit of mild banter, but there are no aggressive attitudes by any means. If anything, fans are interested to know how each other’s teams are doing, or which players to look out for. The idea that a thug culture is still prevalent is ridiculous.

Another reason some people don’t like football, is because of the money involved, yet the truth is there is money involved in everything. For example, Art is seen as a tool which gives people freedom of expression. To me, it’s nothing more than a get rich quick scheme. For example, there is a painting called ‘Nude, Green Leaves and Bust’ by Pablo Picasso. It features a head, a plant, some bizarre body of what looks like a sea creature, and a bit of fruit. The piece was sold for over a billion dollars.

I would not want to criticize art for that, because I would be leaving myself very much exposed to the argument about footballers’ wages. However, the claim that it is better to be interested in art because there is unjust sums of money involved in football, is ridiculous. There are unjust sums of money involved in everything, yet football often gets the blame from those taking the moral high-ground.

Let’s look at politics. People take an interest in politics, but personally I feel quite apathetic about it. I have a semi-sympathy for politicians, because they are the only people who are enough of a bastard to want to be in a position of power. Without ‘bastards’, a country would go into a political vacuum of indecision. People criticize them for not being open and honest, yet if they were, they would not be in power, because the majority of people would disagree. The only way for a political party to get anywhere electorally, is to lie to people and make a series of promises that they know perfectly well they cannot keep.

If you ever watch Prime Minister’s Questions in the House of Commons, all you see is the Labour and Conservative parties bickering with one another like school children. They are not even addressing the real issues, simply looking for a way to win the argument and say whatever makes them look better to the public, or demeans their opponents. A lot of people have very strong opinions on politics, but I do not care too much. Most people I know hate the Conservatives, but I’m not so sure that they are any worse, or better, than Labour.

Since Tony Blair, things seem to have remained a constant. We’re still at war with Iraq and Afghanistan, all of our prime ministers have been completely in bed with Rupert Murdoch, because of his power. On a more global scale, we live in a society where almost half of the world’s wealth is owned by just one per cent of the population. Politicians could try to do something about this, but the catch-22 is, anyone who would initially want to do something about it would, generally, not choose to be in a position of power. And yet, it is somehow healthier to be interested in politics than in football?

Football does not matter at all, but who cares? The fact that it does not matter - the fact that it is so pointless - is what makes it brilliant. The idea that something has to be intrinsically meaningful and poignant to be worthwhile is a very flawed argument.

Personally, I’m quite a deep thinker. And that is something that I don’t particularly like. I would never choose to spend time worrying about the concept of infinity, what created the universe etc. They are quite daunting subjects, and nothing positive comes out of trying to answer them. Somewhat insular and self-limiting though it might sound, it is better to get engrossed in something that does not really matter, rather than worry about things that do.

For example, I used to get really worried about the possibility of Birmingham City getting relegated. Nowadays, I still care, but not quite in the same way. We went down from the Premier League three times in my first eight years of supporting them, and you learn to cope with it. Deep down, I know that if we do get relegated, it has no impact on my life as a whole - plus there’s always next season - and that thought can be quite comforting.

By contrast, if you spend time thinking about politics, that is by no means more rewarding. The only way to know about politics is to read the papers, most of which prefer to stew in the negativity to make money, rather than address anything positive. What is to be gained? Personally, I’m bored of the lies politicians come up with, I’m bored of hearing about the inequalities of the world. Ignorance is bliss, as they say.

In Kyle’s poem, he argues that kids’ passion for football disrupts their academic progress and hinders their future career. I would agree that if, as a boy, you put all your energies into following football, it means your grades suffer. By playing it in the playground, going to matches, watching games on TV, looking at stuff about it on the internet, you don’t have as much time to focus on your school work. Having said that, I would also point out that subjects like Textiles, French, R.E., History, Art, Music, are nearly as pointless as football, but evidently not as interesting to most young lads.

However, a knowledge of football can actually benefit people in their careers. Football is one of the most popular subjects in the world. At most work places, there is office banter about who supports who. Football gives people an opportunity to join in, become part of the group, and develop strong working relationships. In this situation, it is the people who consider themselves ‘above’ football, who are ultimately left out.

A lot of people find football interesting, and it gives meaning to people's lives. It might be mundane and it might not actually matter, but who cares? I'd rather be thinking about football, than get bogged down by the bigger issues. People who aren't interested in football might have more money, but that doesn't mean they are better off. They will never know what it feels like to beat your rivals, or win the cup. To me, the things that actually matter are quite boring. A football match or a meeting at the House of Commons? I know where I'd rather be.

Tuesday, 4 February 2014

Drama at Elland Road

Brian McDermott
There is chaos at Leeds United at the moment. On transfer deadline day, the night before their match against Huddersfield, Leeds United looked to have sacked manager Brian McDermott, only to have the decision reversed.

McDermott had been given the last few games of the previous season to assess his squad, and he decided to make a few changes in the summer. Leeds spent £2 million, with Manchester United’s reserve defender Scott Wootton, and Crewe midfielder Luke Murphy, coming in for £1 million each, plus a number of free transfers. Most of the players he brought in were very tall, indicating a preference for a direct style of play, as he favoured at Reading.

The first half of the season was mixed. After a promising start of eight points from his first four in August, September saw Leeds go on a run of four defeats from five. From October to December, Leeds put together a run of six consecutive home wins, with disappointing results on the road being the main problem. They were also very reliant on the form of top scorer Ross McCormack, who scored a remarkable seventeen goals in the first half of the season, including four in one game in the 4-2 victory at Charlton.

After a 3-0 win at Doncaster in mid-December, Leeds climbed into the play-off spots and looked to be making a convincing push for promotion. However, after that result, they went on a woeful run of eight games without a win. In that time, they lost 6-0 to Yorkshire rivals Sheffield Wednesday, and crashed out of the FA Cup at the hands of League Two Rochdale.

On 31st January, it seemed as though Leeds had sacked McDermott. However, the reporting of his sacking had much to do with the potential new owners. Massimo Cellino, also the owner of Italian side Cagliari Calcio was, and is, close to completing a takeover, subject to the Football League’s “fit and proper person” test – whatever that means.

This spells, potentially, an era of chaos and controversy for Leeds United. As a chairman, Cellino can be considered very much in the Abramovich mould – and by that I don’t mean in the mega-rich sense. He has sacked thirty-five managers in the space of twenty-one years at Cagliari, which is almost two per year. He currently faces court action, after being arrested on suspicion of attempted embezzlement and false representations with regards to the development of the ‘Is Arena’, Cagliari’s current ground.

Massimo Cellino
He has bizarre superstitions. Because it is an unlucky number to him, he will not allow any seat numbered 17 at the stadium, instead labelling them ‘16b’. When a league game was re-arranged for the 17th September, he asked fans to turn up to the match wearing purple. Purple, to Cellino, is an unlucky colour, but his thinking was that one negative cancels out another. Cagliari won that particular match 2-1. Coincidence? Probably.

As if you needed any more evidence that Massimo Cellino is a bit of a nutcase, he is a 57-year-old man, but still plays the guitar in a rock band called ‘Maurilos’. It is clear that this is not some sensible, reliable businessman looking to take over Leeds United.

Ahead of Leeds’ match against Yorkshire rivals Huddersfield, Brian McDermott admitted he was unsure about his Leeds future. He had indicated frustration about the uncertainty regarding the club’s ownership, and was keen for the drama to end one way or another. It created limitations in the transfer market and, inevitably, had an affect on the players.

McDermott was sacked the night before the Huddersfield game, prompting mass protestation from the Leeds United fans. It had been suggested that Cellino, who was close to buying 75% of the club, wanted to appoint Gianluca Festa as manager. A group of Leeds fans attempted to blockade the club’s prospective new owner inside Elland Road, and supporters chased away a taxi sent to collect him from the ground.

Bizarrely, Leeds won the following match against Huddersfield 5-1, with Ross McCormack netting a second half hat-trick. But the drama did not end there. On Saturday evening, it became apparent that Brian McDermott had not been sacked. Rather, Massimo Cellino had told him he would be dismissed once the Italian took control of the club. The Leeds board later issued a statement saying that McDermott remains the club’s manager for the present.

If the takeover does go ahead, one cannot imagine McDermott lasting long. Indeed, it is surprising that he has not chosen to walk away now. He cited his love for the club as a reason for not resigning, mentioning the staff and supporters. This attitude has certainly won him popularity amongst the fans, yet it is questionable that he genuinely means it. He may well prefer to get a big pay-out by being sacked, as he still has two and a half years left on his contract.

Ross McCormack
From everything we know, we can guess that Massimo Cellino belongs to the increasingly common breed of dodgy owners in football. His striking tendency to sack managers suggests that Leeds, as a club, will not get the stability needed to create a team capable of getting into the top flight. From a money point of view, the court cases he is currently undertaking, suggests he could be putting the club at financial risk. Cagliari’s current squad transfer value is around €8M, the rest made up of academy products, loans, free agents and co-ownership deals, which, for a top flight club, does not scream of a chairman with plenty of cash in reserve.

You would worry that he will loan money from other entities to try to bankroll a promotion push, and therefore accumulate the Premier League TV money. While this scenario would be good for Leeds, there is a distinct possibility that the club will get into financial trouble if they then do not go up. Loans would need to be repaid, and Cellino could end up either selling players to do so, or worse, sell shares in the club, and put Leeds United’s future in jeopardy.


Leeds United are a club that, it is fair to say, not everyone likes. But in this situation, as a fan you must be on their fans' side. Cellino’s probable takeover is yet another indication of the problems with modern football.