Premier League
The key Premier League game comes on Monday night, as Man
City look to continue their 100% home record against fellow title-contenders Chelsea. There is a
north-east derby as Sunderland look to continue their revival under Poyet at
Newcastle, while Cardiff desperately need their first league win under Ole
Gunnar Solskjaer at home to Norwich.
Newcastle vs. Sunderland
Yohan Cabaye |
Newcastle have picked up a
reasonable four points from their away trips to West Ham and Norwich. Their
problem now is that they have let go of Yohan Cabaye, and might have to wait
until the summer to sign a good midfield player. No sensible club is going to
let a high quality midfielder go at this stage in the January window, no matter
what the price. Gus Poyet has worked a miracle at Sunderland, taking them out
of the relegation zone for the first time with a win on Wednesday. They are
picking up some great results at the moment, and particularly Adam Johnson looks
on a rich vein of form. Sunderland can pick up a point from the Tyne-Wear
derby. 1-1.
West Ham vs. Swansea
Mark Noble |
This match will present as big
contrast in playing styles as we’ll see this season. West Ham had just one shot
on target and 28% possession at Chelsea, they to defend deep and frustrate them,
managing to pick up a point. Swansea, by contrast, have the highest average
possession % in the Premier League. They won their last match 2-0 against
Fulham, which put them five points clear of the relegation places. Swansea have
had an extra day to prepare, whereas West Ham will have to recover quickly from
a tough match against Chelsea. You can bet Swansea will have more of the ball,
and they might make that count. 1-2.
Cardiff vs. Norwich
Kenwyne Jones |
This is a massive game for
Cardiff, after Ole Gunnar Solskjaer has lost his first three league games in
charge. They have brought in Kenwyne Jones from Stoke as part of a swap deal
with Peter Odemwingie. That might give them some experience up front, which
could be key, with just seventeen goals scored so far. Norwich have added
experience themselves, but to the defence, with Joseph Yobo coming in. They
have kept two consecutive clean sheets at home, which suggests they are
improving at the back. A point would do nicely for Norwich, but Cardiff have
not won in the league since mid-December, and are in desperate need of three.
1-1.
Everton vs. Aston Villa
Gabriel Agbonlahor |
Both teams come into the game
after a surprising result in their local derby. Everton lost 4-0 to Liverpool
on Wednesday and that will be a big blow in their top four aspirations. They
looked disorganized defensively and, on this occasion, Roberto Martinez’s
preference for attacking fullbacks cost them, because there was so much space
in behind. Aston Villa could take advantage of that strategy too, as Lambert’s
side always look to play on the counter attack, although they will be without
the pace of Gabriel Agbonlahor. Their 4-3 win over Birmingham rivals West Brom
provided an end-to-end classic, and Villa did well to come back into the game
after going two goals behind early on. Everton have only lost once at home this
season, but they may drop two points here. 2-2.
Fulham vs. Southampton
Dimitar Berbatov |
Fulham have not taken any points
since their win over West Ham on New Years’ Day, and now they have lost Dimitar Berbatov on loan to Monaco. You would think their next few
home games are going to be vital, but the following five at Craven Cottage are
all against top half opponents, which makes Meulensteen’s job hard. Southampton
battled to a draw against Arsenal on Tuesday, and possibly could have won the
game at the end. It does not seem as though the issue with Pablo Osvaldo and
Jose Fonte has affected the team, as Osvaldo has been left out, and looks
likely to leave for Juventus. Fulham however, are stuck in a worrying cycle of
defeats. With Man United away next week, the games are not going to get any
easier. 1-2.
Nabil Bentaleb |
Hull vs. Tottenham
Hull will play this match with a
reserve goalkeeper. After Allan McGregor’s red card against Crystal Palace,
Eldin Jakupovic has been recalled from Leyton Orient to cover for his
suspension. Although they have won both cup games, the Tigers have not taken
any points since their 6-0 victory over Fulham before New Year. Tottenham lost
their first league game under Tim Sherwood, with a 5-1 home defeat to
Manchester City. Sherwood’s gung-ho mentality cost them in that game. They
played without a proper holding midfielder, both Dembele and Bentaleb like to
break forward, and that is never a good idea when faced with the City’s
attacking quality. However, against a team like Hull they can afford to be more
ambitious going forward. 1-2.
Stoke vs. Man Utd
John Guidetti |
Like Hull, Stoke are on a bit of
a slump, having taken just one point from six games since Christmas Day. Mark
Hughes seems to refuse to field Man City loanee John Guidetti, yet they are
clearly in need of goals, failing to score for the eleventh time this season at
Crystal Palace. The arrival of Juan Mata looks to have boosted Man United, he
seemed to have a great game in a free midfield role. His quality brought the
best out of United’s other players too, and could help them move towards the
top four. 0-2.
Daniel Sturridge |
West Brom vs. Liverpool
The team Man United will have to
beat to get there, it seems, is Liverpool. The Reds came out with a 4-0 victory
in the Merseyside Derby, and have won five of their six games since the turn of
the year. Daniel Sturridge scored twice on Tuesday, taking him to an impressive
total of sixteen goals already this season, and is benefitting from playing
alongside Suarez. West Brom are yet another team struggling on a poor run of
form. Defeat to Aston Villa, despite an early two-goal lead, means they are
just three points above the drop zone. What’s more, three of their next four
home games are Liverpool, Chelsea and Man United. It will be difficult for the
Baggies to pick up points at this stage. 0-2.
Arsenal vs. Crystal Palace
Mikel Arteta |
Crystal Palace’s revival under
Tony Pulis has been remarkable, but this should be a comfortable win for
Arsenal. It’s a game they will be expected to dominate possession, with Mikel
Arteta instigating the attacks. Crystal Palace got a 1-0 win over Hull on
Tuesday, but away from home they have not done so well, losing four of their
last five. They have signed Tom Ince on loan from Blackpool, which will give
them some pace going forward, and it’s a big opportunity for Ince to prove
himself, after going off the boil in the Championship in recent weeks. Palace
will try to stay organized and you would imagine they’ll play much like West
Ham did at Chelsea the other night, but Arsenal should have the creativity to
break them down. 2-0.
Man City vs. Chelsea
Jose Mourinho |
Man City barely need to make any
changes from the side which won 5-1 at Tottenham. Perhaps Aguero will be out
due to injury, but Dzeko and Negredo have already proved they can form a great
strike partnership. Chelsea dropped two points at home to West Ham in midweek.
Jose Mourinho criticized Sam Allardyce for playing ‘19th century
football’, but that is perhaps a diversion tactic, to hide the fact that
Chelsea failed to break them down. Manchester City have only failed to win two
games since mid-November. Even without Aguero, and even against fellow
title-contenders Chelsea, their 100% home record cannot be ignored. 2-1.
The Championship
The big game this weekend, is
between QPR and Burnley. QPR look to cement their place in the top two, while
Burnley will want to prove that their promotion ambitions are not over, after
dropped points at home. There are two Yorkshire derbies, one between midtable
sides Leeds and Huddersfield, and one relegation contenders clash, as Sheffield
Wednesday host Barnsley.
QPR vs. Burnley
Kieran Trippier |
This is the first of three
crucial games for QPR, against Derby, Reading, and Burnley on Saturday. You
would think they would have the experience in their squad to handle the big
game pressure, yet Harry Redknapp’s side have already lost to Leicester,
Forest, and away to Burnley back in October. The Clarets have just dropped four points from
two home games, and perhaps this could be the time that the lack of proven
quality in their squad shows. Burnley have got this far by being able to defend
deep for much of a game and then nick a goal through Ings or Vokes. QPR are
likely to have a lot of the ball, and eventually their quality will come to the
fore. 2-1.
Birmingham vs. Derby
Aaron Martin |
Every time Birmingham play at
home, the stat gets worse and worse - they have not won at St Andrews for four
months now. It is difficult to see that changing on Saturday, as they play a
Derby side who are the Championship’s away specialists, taking twenty-seven
points from fourteen games on the road. Thanks to two goals in the final three
minutes, the Rams completed a dramatic 3-2 win over Yeovil Town, in a game they
had thirty-six shots. The fact that they kept going to the end is testament to
the energy of Derby’s midfield, with Will Hughes and Craig Bryson providing an
attacking threat. Derby might overload Birmingham in the centre, and in
defence, Blues have had to act quickly to bring in centre-back Aaron Martin, after
Kyle Bartley was recalled. Their back line will take time to settle, and Derby
will take advantage. 1-3.
Blackburn vs. Blackpool
Jason Lowe |
Blackpool suffered a 5-1 defeat
at Reading on Tuesday, and it looks as though the Tangerine plummet is
continuing, despite the change of manager. Thankfully for them, none of the
bottom five teams won, so Barry Ferguson’s new side remain nine points clear of
the drop, although they have played two games more than most. Surprisingly,
Blackburn had the majority of possession in their 2-2 draw at Barnsley, despite
the fact that they only tend to play with four in midfield, to Barnsley’s five.
The Rovers have won half their games at Ewood Park this season, and if
Blackpool’s current run of form is anything to go by, this will be another home
victory. 2-0.
Bournemouth vs. Leicester
Marc Pugh |
Bournemouth are starting to pick
up some good results at home. Their FA Cup defeat to Liverpool was only one loss
in their last six at Dean Court, and in their last match against Huddersfield,
they picked up another three points towards midtable security. But this is the
kind of away game that Leicester will prefer in the second half of the season,
because the teams down the bottom will be fighting for their lives. With QPR
playing Burnley in the early game, the Foxes can potentially go fourteen points
clear of third place – albeit QPR and Burnley both have a game in hand on them.
Leicester were passing the ball with Premier League quality at Birmingham,
particularly in the first half, and they should cruise to the finish line now.
0-2.
Doncaster vs. Middlesbrough
Paul Dickov |
Doncaster are enjoying a
resurgence, with 3-0 home wins over Wigan and Charlton sandwiching a point at
Blackpool in the last two weeks. They dominated against Charlton with 67%
possession, and their opponents did not even manage a shot on target. Paul
Dickov deserves credit for getting these results after a woeful run of form
recently, and the board deserve credit for standing by him. Middlesbrough kept
a remarkable sixth clean sheet since mid-December, although they could not find
a winner against Wigan. A problem for them now, is that key defender Rhys
Williams will be out for the remainder of the season, after an Achilles’
injury. A point apiece at the Keepmoat. 1-1.
Ipswich vs. Bolton
David McGoldrick |
Ipswich got a decent point away to
Leeds on Tuesday. The Tractor Boys remain just four points off the play-off
places, although they have won just one of their last eight, including the cup
games against Preston. David McGoldrick scored for the first time in the league
since his brace at Doncaster on Boxing Day, which is important for Ipswich,
because they have been reliant on his goals at times this season. Bolton went
down to a third consecutive defeat at QPR, and these are worrying times for the
Trotters, who are just four points above the drop zone. 2-1.
Leeds vs. Huddersfield
James Vaughan |
A West Yorkshire derby between
two sides who are sitting slap bang midtable. Leeds ended a run of five
consecutive defeats with a draw against Ipswich, but they have still not won
since mid-December. In that match, Ross McCormack netted for the first time
this year from the penalty spot, but he still might struggle in open play without
the support of Matt Smith. Huddersfield have lost their last three after a 2-1
defeat at Bournemouth, and need Nahki Wells to follow up on his first goals for
the club, because Vaughan has only scored once since early October. These are
two teams in poor form, and a draw is the most likely outcome. 1-1.
Millwall vs. Reading
Adam Le Fondre |
Ian Holloway has got off to a
mixed start as manager of Millwall, with one defeat, one win and one draw, as
the Lions are still in relegation trouble. DJ Campbell was a controversial loan
choice given his alleged involvement in match fixing scandals, but he scored a
late equalizer on his debut. Adam Le Fondre netted his second hat-trick in ten
days during Reading’s 5-1 win over Blackpool. The striking thing about that
result, was that their opponents actually had most of the ball, but could only
get two shots on target, which suggests Reading were well organized and able to
break quickly. If Holloway chooses to attack Reading, his side could pay for it
at the back. 1-3.
Sheff Wed vs. Barnsley
Benik Afobe |
Another Yorkshire derby, only
this one has a lot more significance, as both teams are looking to avoid the
drop. Sheffield Wednesday are looking the more likely at the moment. They are
unbeaten in six games, having picked up good away points against Burnley and
Millwall. The positive for them is that goals are coming in different areas,
with Chris Maguire and Caolan Lavery scoring in recent weeks, while the arrival
of Benik Afobe can replace Connor Wickham. They are not relying on one star
man. Barnsley have shown signs of life recently, and have not been beaten in
the league since the turn of the year. Loanee Nick Proschwitz scored on his
debut in the draw with Blackburn, while the loan signing of Jack Hunt from
Palace will be of benefit, because they have struggled for fullbacks this
season. 1-0.
Wigan vs. Charlton
Dale Stephens |
What are Charlton doing? They
look as though they are going to sell two of their best players, Yann
Kermorgant and Dale Stephens, and bring in a whole host of players from
Standard Liege, who new chairman Roland Duchatelet also owns. It does not take
a genius to guess that this was probably not a decision made by Chris Powell,
as Duchatelet is notorious for interfering with the playing side. This does not
bode well for Charlton’s relegation battle, and on Saturday they play a Wigan
side who have only lost one game since the arrival of Uwe Rosler. They drew 0-0
at Middlesbrough, but the Latics could do with a striker, because their highest
scoring out-and-out forward is Marc-Antoine Fortune, and he has only netted
three times. Still, this game, against an unsettled Charlton side, will be no
problem. 2-0.
Nottm Forest vs. Yeovil
Rafik Djebbour |
Surrendering a 2-0 lead at Derby,
and conceding two late goals to lose 3-2, will be a massive kick in the teeth
for Yeovil. It will be a massive achievement if they can recover from that to
stay up, but it would be sensible to say that at six points, the gap could be
too wide. Nottingham Forest will have had to play their match, against Watford,
two days later than Yeovil, but they have a lot of quality in their team. Billy Davies finally got his target of a striker in the January window, and Rafik Djebbour could be a good signing. The Algerian has scored thirty-nine goals in fifty-six games for Olympiakos, and his goals could be key, because Forest have struggled to keep their forwards fit this season. 2-0.
Watford vs. Brighton
Daniel Tozser |
Watford will have played
Nottingham Forest on Thursday night, and will have had three days to prepare
for this match, rather than Brighton’s five. They’ve signed midfielder Daniel
Tozser on loan from Genoa, yet the Hornets already have seven players in the
squad who are capable of playing in the centre, so that seems like a strange
move. Brighton, meanwhile, kept their eighth away clean sheet of the season in
a 0-0 draw at Burnley. Watford have brought a few new players in since Sannino
took over and they will take time to settle, so Brighton might put in a
typically organized, resolute away performance and pinch three points towards
their play-off ambitions. 0-1.
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