The final day of the Championship season is here, and how
quickly has it gone? The race for promotion went down to final day drama last
season, but this time around, things at the top have looked rather predictable
since February. However, there are still things to play for. Reading’s fate is
in their hands, they can clinch the final play-off spot with a win over
Burnley, while Brighton will be hoping to take advantage of a slip-up, as they
travel to Nottingham Forest. At the other end, Birmingham start the day in the
drop zone. Defeat at Bolton would confirm relegation for the Blues, otherwise,
their fate will be dependent on Doncaster and Millwall’s results against Leicester
and Bournemouth respectively. There’s still much to play for, to round off this
Championship season.
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Ben Mansford |
Barnsley vs. QPR
Barnsley’s relegation was confirmed last week, with a 3-1
loss at Middlesbrough. Chief executive Ben Mansford has promised a ‘competitive’
budget for the club next season, and as things stand, Barnsley looks like they
will be in the strongest position of the teams to come down. QPR’s away form is
terrible. They have lost 5 of their last 6 on the road, as only Charlton,
Blackpool and Doncaster have scored less away goals. Harry Redknapp does have
talented players at his disposal, but the likes of Junior Hoilett and Yossi
Benayoun have underperformed this season. On this occasion, QPR might have a
bit too much quality for Barnsley. 0-2.
Blackburn vs. Wigan
Blackburn need a last day miracle to get in the play-offs.
There would need to be a 7 goal swing between themselves and Reading, and that’s
in the scenario that Brighton fail to win. Realistically, it’s not going to
happen, so Blackburn fans can be forgiven for looking ahead to next season.
Wigan, meanwhile, secured their play-off place with a 1-0 win at Birmingham. They
just need a draw here to tie up fifth place, and going on current form, most
teams would rather play QPR than Derby in the semi-finals. Blackburn are
lacking an experienced holding midfielder, and this is where Wigan, a side who
close down very effectively in midfield, can benefit. I’d go for a high-scoring
draw. 2-2.
Blackpool vs. Charlton
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Callum Harriott |
Charlton’s safety was confirmed on Tuesday night, with a 3-1
win over Watford. Winger Callum Harriott scored two very well taken goals,
which should be a real boost for the youngster. Until recently, he looked like
a player who had a lot of pace but lacked intelligence in his play, yet 2 goals
and 2 assists in his last 3 games suggests Harriott’s end product is improving
too. After a turbulent season, Blackpool need just a point to secure survival.
For all his critics, Barry Ferguson deserves credit for getting such a crucial
result, a 2-0 win at Wigan, out of his players. Neither side desperately need a
win, and both teams have scored the joint fewest number of goals in the
Championship. This has the look of a goalless to me. 0-0.
Bolton vs. Birmingham
Bolton have been in excellent form since March, and are
ending their season with more positive news, with Neil Danns signing on a
permanent deal. He has arguably been Bolton’s best attacking player this
season, with 6 goals and 5 assists in just 25 starts since joining in October. Danns
will be facing his old club, Birmingham, who start the final day in the drop zone.
Defeat for the Blues would confirm relegation, though they can stay up with a
draw if Doncaster lose. The one piece of good news is that defender Paul
Robinson will return from suspension. Birmingham have a much better record,
defensively and overall, with Robinson in the side. He, like Danns, will be up
against his old club, in a pivotal game. Bolton have only conceded 4 goals in
their last 8 and they will be hard for Birmingham to break down. If the Blues
are chasing a goal in the closing stages, they will push men forward, which is
a worry because Bolton can counter well. 2-0.
Ipswich vs. Sheff Wed
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Stuart Gray |
1pt from a possible 9 has mathematically ended Ipswich’s
play-off ambitions for this season. It has been a progressive campaign for the
Tractor Boys, but they have lacked creativity in midfield. Their highest
assister is their left-back, and their highest-scoring non-striker is a
centre-back, which tells its’ own story. This summer, Mick McCarthy needs to
add an attack-minded midfielder who can get forward and contribute. Sheffield
Wednesday continue to leak goals, with 20 conceded in 7 games since the end of
March. Stuart Gray is looking to bring in a striker this summer, but there are
other areas he may need to strengthen. Questions will be asked of whether the
aging pair of Glenn Loovens and Oguchi Onyewu, will be able to play week in,
week out next season. 2-1.
Leeds vs. Derby
The animosity between these two clubs has been there since
the early 70s, when they were the top 2 clubs in England, with a rivalry
fuelled by Don Revie and Brian Clough. After going on an awful run of form over
March, Leeds seem to be ending the season on a high, with 3 wins from their
last 4 games. Derby meanwhile, have found their goalscoring grove once again.
They’ve won their last 5 games, scoring 14 goals. It is no coincidence that
Derby have scored more goals since loanee George Thorne has started getting
games. Dropping deep, he has given other midfielders the licence to get forward
and support attacks, and that is where Derby are at their strongest. 1-1.
Leicester vs. Doncaster
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Kevin Phillips |
Leicester striker Kevin Phillips has announced that he will
retire at the end of the season. You would hope that he gets a substitute appearance
at the end for sentimental reasons, because he has been a fantastic
professional throughout his career, and one of the best finishers in the
English game. There are certainly more pressing matters at stake though, as
Doncaster need a win to guarantee Championship survival. If the Rovers do go
down, you can put it down to a lack of goals. Paul Dickov’s side have only
scored 13 times since the end of January, and sometimes they struggle to create
chances. I cannot see Leicester easing their grip, so I think Doncaster’s fate
will come down to what happens at the Reebok. 2-0.
Millwall vs. Bournemouth
An injury to Elliott Ward is unlikely to trouble Bournemouth
too much, because Steve Cook and Tom Elphick have formed a very solid defensive
pairing over the last couple of months. Millwall grabbed a last minute
equalizer at QPR, thanks to a wonderful strike from Scott Malone, which will
give the team confidence going into the final day. If the Lions do stay up,
they might need a little bit more quality in midfield. The likes of Nicky Bailey
and Shaun Williams provide bite, but the tactic for them this season has been
to hoof it into the box. With a higher calibre of opposition coming up from
League One, you wonder if that will be enough next time around. 1-1.
Nottm Forest vs. Brighton
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Oscar Garcia |
The goals Nottingham Forest conceded last week, came about
from them defending far too deep. They appeared happy to camp on the 18-yard
line and a side in Bournemouth, who can keep the ball so well, were always
going to find their way through eventually. Likewise, Brighton are a possession
side, and they had a lot of it against Yeovil last Friday, but only created
chances in the latter stages. The Seagulls have never been the type of team
that will attack with intent, and Oscar Garcia has been criticized for this at
times. Mathematically, only a 16-16 draw in this match would see Brighton get
into the play-offs with a point. Although the two teams are currently on the
same goal difference, Brighton have a vastly inferior goals scored record to
Reading. Realistically, this is a game that Brighton need to win, so it will be
interesting to see whether Garcia takes more of an adventurous mentality. 0-1.
Reading vs. Burnley
Time will tell just how important Reading’s 2nd
half turnaround at Doncaster will prove to be. The Royals scored 3 goals in
typically fast-paced style. They know a win will guarantee a play-off spot, but
this will be no easy task, as they face an impressive Burnley side. The Clarets
won last week, despite already having been promoted, which suggests that Sean
Dyche is keeping his players in check. Winger Michael Kightly has been in very
good form lately, with four goals and two man of the match performances since
mid-March. While Burnley are unlikely to drop off the boil entirely, I would just
go for Reading here. They will have that little bit more incentive to win. 2-1.
|
Alex Smithies |
Watford vs. Huddersfield
Watford will be glad to end the season on their own turf. With
a poor away record, they have played their last 3 matches away from Vicarage
Road, losing each one. However, the Hornets have only dropped 7 points at home
since the turn of the year. They will be confident of a victory, because
Huddersfield have lost 12 away games this season, and only Barnsley and Doncaster
have lost more frequently. You would think that finishing 2 places higher than
last season would be a sign of progress. In fact, Huddersfield are guaranteed
to finish with a much lower points tally, and they are a team I would worry
about going into next season. Watford fans meanwhile, can feel quietly
optimistic. 2-0.
Yeovil vs. Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough travel to Yeovil with news that Greek
goalkeeper Dimitros Konstantopoulos has extended his contract for another
season. The 35-year-old has only conceded 12 goals in 12 games since arriving
in March, and has been man of the match on 3 occasions. There may a
communication issue which he needs to work on, because the goals he conceded
against Reading were due to a misunderstanding between him and the defence.
Aitor Karanka not playing a consistent back-line perhaps doesn’t help this
problem. The future of Yeovil’s manager, Gary Johnson, is in doubt. Currently
in his second spell with the West Country club, Johnson has made his demands for
backing in the transfer window known. Yeovil have shown that they can hold
their own at this level, but you would think they need to sign a couple of
experienced players on big wages, if they want to be competing at the top of
League One next season. 0-1.