Thursday 23 January 2014

FA Cup 4th Round Predictions

Seven Premier League clubs have the day off, in this FA Cup weekend, while the other clubs will need to balance their priorities, with another round of league matches on Tuesday night. Watford look likely to be the seventeenth victim of Man City’s remarkable home record this season, while Arsenal will be heavy favourites to beat cash-strapped Coventry on Friday night. Liverpool and Everton prepare for a Merseyside Derby on Tuesday with away games against lower league opposition, while Kidderminster are the only non-league side left in the competition, they will enjoy at trip to Premier League Sunderland. Championship sides Bolton and Wigan seem the most likely to cause an upset, as they play host to Premier League Cardiff and Crystal Palace respectively, both of whom will want to focus on survival.

Arsenal vs. Coventry
Coventry fans protest
Considering the hell Coventry City fans have had to go through over the last two years, you would love it if this match produced a Friday night fairy-tale. It will certainly mean more to the Sky Blues, who have struggled desperately from a financial perspective. They will fight tooth and nail for a result, while you can expect Arsene Wenger to change his entire team in preparation for the Southampton game on Tuesday. League One Coventry always provide a better support when playing away than at their ground in Northampton, and that explains their impressive form on the road. Still, the gulf will be too wide. 3-0.

Simon Grayson
Nottm Forest vs. Preston
These teams have shown promise in this competition, both having already beaten a side in the league above them. In terms of confidence, a cup run could benefit Preston, who do not like falling out of the League One play-off places, yet neither do they look like going up automatically. Simon Grayson's side have an eye-catching away form, with six wins from their last seven on the road. Nottingham Forest are in a similar position in the Championship, but they have got an injury-ravaged squad and will be more keen to focus on maintaining their league form. 1-1.

Bournemouth vs. Liverpool
Lewis Grabban
Both teams are having better seasons than they might have expected, albeit in very different circumstances. Freshly promoted from League One, Bournemouth are seven points clear of the Championship relegation zone, with top scorer Grabban tied down to a new contract. Liverpool are in the top four, which represents progress under the guidance of Brendan Rodgers. However, the Reds will have more than half an eye on Tuesday’s Merseyside derby and could be shirking the challenges, on a small pitch at Dean Court. A narrow win for the hot favourites. 1-2.

Birmingham vs. Swansea
September: Blues 3-1 Swansea
Championship outfit Birmingham City have already beaten Swansea this season, they came out 3-1 victors in the League Cup clash back in September. However, two of their goalscorers that night, Dan Burn and Matt Green, will be unavailable, as Burn has returned from his low spell and Green has a long-term injury. A contrast of home and away form does not shine a great light on either side for this match. Birmingham have not won at home in the league since 1st October, while Premier League Swansea have only won once away since September. With Europa League matches, and possibly a relegation battle to contend with, Swansea are unlikely to prioritize a cup run. Birmingham have a habit of performing well without the pressure of expectation. 2-1.

Bolton vs. Cardiff
Solskjaer
Bolton are low on finances, and now they will be low on morale after an embarrassing defeat to Reading. Strong performances in the FA Cup could be just the tonic to boost spirits at the Reebok, and maybe give the club some much needed income. Cardiff’s best source of income is Premier League survival. They are currently bottom of the table, although only one point off safety. With two league games coming up in the next week, Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s priorities will lie elsewhere. 2-1.

Huddersfield vs. Charlton
January: Charlton 0-1 H'field
These two Championship clubs met in the 3rd Round of the FA Cup last season, ending in a 1-0 win for Huddersfield at the Valley. The Terriers have the advantage going into this one too. Their home form is respectable, having only been beaten three times at the Galpharm in the league. However, they were fortunate to scrape through the third round, as two late goals saw them avoid a shock against non-league Grimsby. Charlton are only outside the Championship relegation zone on goal difference, level on points with Doncaster, against whom they have a vital league game on Tuesday night to prepare for. Huddersfield are slap-bang midtable, and a cup run would add excitement to their season. 2-1.

Alvaro Negredo
Man City vs. Watford
Watford might be more organized now under Giuseppe Sannino, but no defence, no matter how strong, will feel confident going to the Etihad at this moment. Three strikers City have, in Aguero, Negredo and Dzeko provide frightening forward options. It was a 3-0 win against Watford this time last year which saw City begin their journey to the FA Cup final, under Roberto Mancini. If the Hornets could keep it down to just the three goals this time, they will have done very well. 4-0.

Tom Pope
Port Vale vs. Brighton
Port Vale are thriving in League One. They have been close to the play-off places since the beginning of the season, as only a newly-promoted side from League Two, thanks largely to the goals of Tom Pope. Brighton are strong away though, having already kept seven clean sheets on the road. They should do the job here quite comfortably. 0-2.



Rochdale vs. Sheff Wed
Keith Hill
Rochdale’s home form has been key to their League Two promotion campaign thus far, under Keith Hill. Thirty-one points have been taken at Spotland, and in the last round, they knocked out Leeds of the Championship. Sheffield Wednesday are making great strides under new manager Stuart Gray, with a dramatic improvement in results since he took over. The Owls will avoid the dangers of complacency here. 0-2.


Southampton vs. Yeovil
James Hayter
Even though his side are midtable in the Premier League, Mauricio Pochettino might be tempted to rest a few players for Yeovil’s visit, in preparation for the match against Arsenal on Tuesday. The Glovers are joint-bottom of the Championship, but they have proved to be quite competent when playing away from home. They will be buoyed by a 2-0 win at Birmingham, with James Hayter trebling his goal tally for the season that afternoon. Yeovil will keep the scoreline respectable. 2-0.

Southend vs. Hull
Phil Brown
Phil Brown faces his old club, as manager of League Two Southend. The Shrimpers showed that they will be no pushovers in this competition, when they hit four past Championship Millwall in the third round. They are on a fine run of form, having beaten promotion rivals Chesterfield 3-0 in their last match, and have only lost once since October. Ten years ago, it would not take an FA Cup match for these clubs to meet, as Hull were also in the fourth tier. Now, the Tigers are looking to become an established Premier League club, although they have lost their last three league games. This is a potentially tricky tie for Hull, but they will avoid a slip-up with a narrow win. 0-1.

Sunderland vs. Kidderminster
Adam Johnson
Yet more cup action is in store for Sunderland. They reached the final of the League Cup on Wednesday, after a dramatic night at Old Trafford. Kidderminster Harriers of the fifth tier, do not appear in the right shape to produce another scalp, as the only non-league side remaining. They won 3-2 away to Peterborough in the third round, but following that result, the Conference play-off chasers went down to a shock 2-1 home defeat to relegation candidates Dartford. This will be a great day out for Kidderminster, but nothing more. 3-0.

Stephen Dobbie
Wigan vs. Crystal Palace
Wigan were unbeaten in eight before a shock 3-0 loss at Doncaster, but they will be one of the fancied teams to pull off an upset here. Miraculously, Crystal Palace are now above the relegation zone in the Premier League, but Tony Pulis will be intent on finishing the job. Wigan have not conceded in any of their last three home games, and Crystal Palace do not have too much depth in the attacking department, with Stephen Dobbie the only reserve forward. You would back the Latics to keep another clean sheet at the DW. 1-0.

Francois Zoko
Stevenage vs. Everton
These two teams met in the League Cup back in August, and Everton won. Even though Stevenage have home advantage this time around, the way these two clubs’ respective seasons are going, you cannot see the result being different. Stevenage lost at home to relegation rivals Notts County last week and are bottom of League One, despite the significant goal contributions of Francois Zoko. Everton on the other hand, are showing great progress under Roberto Martinez, although they are likely to change their team with a crucial Merseyside derby coming on Tuesday. Even so, they will be playing with more confidence than their lower league counterparts. 0-2.

Nigel Clough
Sheff Utd vs. Fulham
You might have thought that an away win against Premier League Aston Villa would boost Sheffield United’s league form, but the League One side have not done much since that match, with a defeat and a draw. Fulham remain dangerously close to the Premier League relegation zone, and a cup run will not be a priority for Rene Meulensteen, particularly with an aging, injury prone squad. Nigel Clough always seems to have that extra bit of passion for the FA Cup, and the Blades might just surprise us again. 2-1.

Chelsea vs. Stoke
Mark Hughes
Mark Hughes lifted the FA Cup four times as a player, but for this season at least, he’s unlikely to add to that tally in management. Not least because this weekend, he visits old club Chelsea, who have won their last six games in all forms. Hughes’ opposite number, Jose Mourinho, will not disregard any chance for a trophy, as he has won the domestic cup with every big club he has been to. Stoke rarely do well away from home, so this will be a comfortable afternoon for the Special One, and a testing one for Sparky. 2-0.

The Championship
The league’s top two form teams go head-to-head as Leicester play Middlesbrough, as both teams cannot stop winning at the moment. Blackpool have their first game without Paul Ince and are yet to name a caretaker manager before the visit of Doncaster, who will look to climb out of the relegation zone. There are also two games concerning the possible play-off places. Blackburn host Derby, while an Ipswich side struggling to regain their form play host to Reading, who have done exactly that, after a massive win last week. 

Blackburn vs. Derby
Jordan Rhodes
Blackburn fell victim to Nottingham Forest’s resurgence last week, they lost 4-1 at the City Ground. But things could be worse for the Rovers. They are still only four points off the play-off places, and top scorer Jordan Rhodes is still with the Lancashire club, despite talk of a January move. Derby got back to winning ways with a 1-0 home victory over Brighton last week. Patrick Bamford netted in the match, he scored his first goal for the Rams since joining on loan from Chelsea. Another win would put them just two points off the automatic promotion places, albeit having played a game extra than a few teams around them. Derby have the best away record in the division, while Blackburn can be very strong at home, so this could be a draw. 1-1.

Barry Ferguson
Blackpool vs. Doncaster
Both teams have made steps to undo their poor form of recent weeks. In Blackpool’s case, they have sacked manager Paul Ince, which might have been the right decision. Nine defeats from ten games was not good enough, and after his assault of a match official back in September, Ince has clearly created discipline problems at the club, given the number of red cards Blackpool have picked up. The problem is, Karl Oysten has reportedly offered the job of caretaker manager to current player Barry Ferguson. Ferguson has no experience of coaching or management, he had discipline problems himself as a player, he was not particularly liked by the Blackpool fans, so you cannot see the logic of the Blackpool board. Two goals from Chris Brown saw Doncaster get a shock 3-0 win over Wigan last week, which is a result that will give them real hope of survival. The Rovers are now only inside the relegation zone on goal difference, and have a crucial home match against Charlton on Tuesday. The relegation battle is getting tighter, and that factor concerns Blackpool too. 1-2.

Ipswich vs. Reading
Adam Le Fondre
It does not seem long ago that Ipswich were one of the Championship’s form teams, yet now they are without a win in six, if you include the two FA Cup games against Preston. Mick McCarthy’s side have the chance to push themselves back into play-off contention with a win over Reading. The Royals currently hold that sixth spot, and do not look like letting go any time soon - their 7-1 win over Bolton was the Championship’s biggest win of the season to date. Adam Le Fondre found his scoring boots, netting a hat-trick. His contract runs out this summer and has perhaps been unfairly treated by Reading, having apparently fallen out of Nigel Adkins’ plans. He remains their top scorer despite limited game time, and proved that he can grab goals when starting matches, and not just as an impact substitute. Reading will be buoyant after that result and might pick up a third straight win at Ipswich. 1-2.

Mustapha Carayol
Leicester vs. Middlesbrough

A meeting of the top two form teams in the Championship. With their only shot on target of the match in the last few minutes, Leicester won 1-0 at Leeds. That is the type of fortune, or ruthlessness, depending on how you look at it, that tends to win teams promotion. The Foxes are now six points clear of third place, and Nigel Pearson just needs to keep his side focused, because there is still over three months of football to be played. This will be a difficult match, as Middlesbrough are in superb form, having won five out of their last six and are now among a host of clubs looking to break into the play-off places. Leicester though, have only been beaten once at home this season and will be hoping to grind out a seventh consecutive league win. 1-0.

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